Jonathan Aranda

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.06

Edge

—

Batter Strikeouts Hits Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last2026

Trending splits

Last 19

16%3/19 over 0.5

Window avg

0.16

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

0/10

L20

16%

3/19

2026

0/9

Avg0.16

StreakL11

Home Runs — last 19 vs 0.5

vs NYY only · official box scores

Parlay pairs — when Jonathan Aranda clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Junior Caminero o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 83% · base 69% · n=29 · -250 BetMGM

Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=9 · -135 BetMGM

Nick Fortes o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 67% · base 58% · n=9 · -135 BetMGM

Ben Williamson o0.5 Batter Strikeouts

hits when he does 63% · base 52% · n=8

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

No live odds from your books right now.

No books quoting 0 right now.

Home Runs · best price bolded · odds refresh every poll

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

CaesarsBetRiversDabble

Time	Book	Move
1:00 PM ET

League vs NYY — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Junior Caminero TB	07/09	1	✓
Yandy Díaz TB	07/09	0	✗
Victor Mesa Jr. TB	07/09	0	✗
Nick Fortes TB	07/09	0	✗
Ryan Vilade TB	07/09	0	✗
Chandler Simpson TB	07/09	0	✗
Taylor Walls TB	07/09	0	✗
Ben Williamson TB	07/09	0	✗
Taylor Walls TB	07/08	0	✗
Yandy Díaz TB	07/08	0	✗
Chandler Simpson TB	07/08	0	✗
Junior Caminero TB	07/08	0	✗
Jonny DeLuca TB	07/08	0	✗
Ben Williamson TB	07/08	0	✗

Aranda's hitting zones (batter data)

Where he produces at the plate — official MLB hot/cold zones from his own at-bats, catcher's view, red hot / blue cold. Compare against the opposing pitcher's arsenal above: a fastball-heavy righty living up-and-in is a problem if that zone runs cold.

Advantage: hits .440 down-and-in · Weakness: .067 up-and-in

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OPS

Exit Velo

AVG

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