Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Jonathan Aranda

Tampa Bay Rays · 3B · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
-1.8%
Last 17
59%10/17 over 0.5
Window avg
0.82
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
59%
10/17
2026
29%
2/7
Avg0.82
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Jonathan Aranda clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Richie Palacios o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -114 DraftKings
Richie Palacios o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 60% · base 52% · n=53 · -118 BetOnline

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 17 vs 0.5

vs NYY only · official box scores
1vs NYY04/171vs NYY04/181vs NYY04/190vs NYY04/200@ NYY05/023@ NYY05/042@ NYY07/282@ NYY07/291@ NYY07/301@ NYY07/310vs NYY04/100vs NYY04/110vs NYY04/121@ NYY05/221@ NYY05/240vs NYY07/060vs NYY07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-208+155
BetOnline0.5-208+158

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET12:10 AM ET
BetOnlineDraftKings

League vs NYY Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Victor Mesa Jr. TB07/072
Yandy Díaz TB07/072
Richie Palacios TB07/072
Taylor Walls TB07/071
Hunter Feduccia TB07/071
Chandler Simpson TB07/070
Junior Caminero TB07/070
Cedric Mullins TB07/070
Richie Palacios TB07/062
Chandler Simpson TB07/061
Jonny DeLuca TB07/061
Nick Fortes TB07/060
Taylor Walls TB07/060
Yandy Díaz TB07/060

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

Exit Velo
91.3597.4081.8793.1096.2488.4491.0097.8593.56
onBasePercentage
.400.190.067.138.400.182.200.417.417
sluggingPercentage
.421.526.067.222.628.318.360.667.583
OPS
.800.667.133.3451.000.500.5601.0831.000
AVG
.368.211.067.148.419.182.200.417.417