Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

CJ Abrams

Washington Nationals · SS · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.00
Edge
+0.3%
Last 20
5%1/19 over 2 · 1 push
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/19
2026
8%
6/71
Avg1.01
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.270.40534.3%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.351.57125.1%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.138.24137.0%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.244.40012.9%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.222.48932.0%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.4171.12522.0%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.259.53436.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 20 vs 2

official box scores
1vs SEA06/140vs KC06/151vs KC06/161vs KC06/171@ TB06/191@ TB06/202@ TB06/211vs PHI06/221vs PHI06/240vs PHI06/250@ BAL06/260@ BAL06/270@ BAL06/281@ BOS06/291@ BOS06/301vs PIT07/030vs PIT07/041vs PIT07/053vs HOU07/061vs HOU07/072

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-203+152
dabble_us_dfs0.5-164+167

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

James Wood WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
James Wood WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Luis García Jr. WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.267.381.429.231.529.226.250.343.350
sluggingPercentage
.308.500.643.5201.147.667.296.743.600
AVG
.154.400.429.240.529.233.222.343.350
OPS
.533.8571.071.7311.676.871.5361.086.950
Exit Velo
95.1393.3081.8293.2594.2888.3589.9494.8193.13