Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

CJ Abrams

Washington Nationals · SS · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.00
Edge
+0.3%
Last 8
75%6/8 over 0.5
Window avg
1.38
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
75%
6/8
L20
75%
6/8
2026
100%
2/2
Avg1.38
StreakW2

Tonight's matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP)

Bats LeftThrows RightPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Curveball
33.0%
76.6.270.40534.3%
Four-seam FB
29.7%
92.4.351.57125.1%
Sweeper
12.5%
79.3.138.24137.0%
Sinker
10.1%
92.1.244.40012.9%
Changeup
7.4%
84.1.222.48932.0%
Cutter
6.0%
87.4.4171.12522.0%
Slider
1.2%
82.2.259.53436.9%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Hitslast 8 vs 0.5

vs HOU only · official box scores
1vs HOU04/192vs HOU04/201vs HOU04/210@ HOU07/283@ HOU07/290@ HOU07/303vs HOU07/061vs HOU07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-203+152
dabble_us_dfs0.5-164+167

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:11 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs HOU Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 11/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

James Wood WSH07/072
Curtis Mead WSH07/072
Luis García Jr. WSH07/072
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/072
Jorbit Vivas WSH07/071
Daylen Lile WSH07/070
Keibert Ruiz WSH07/070
Jacob Young WSH07/070
Curtis Mead WSH07/063
Nasim Nuñez WSH07/063
James Wood WSH07/061
Drew Millas WSH07/061
Jacob Young WSH07/061
Luis García Jr. WSH07/061

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.267.381.429.231.529.226.250.343.350
sluggingPercentage
.308.500.643.5201.147.667.296.743.600
AVG
.154.400.429.240.529.233.222.343.350
OPS
.533.8571.071.7311.676.871.5361.086.950
Exit Velo
95.1393.3081.8293.2594.2888.3589.9494.8193.13