Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.44
Edge
+0.8%Last 20
20%4/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.20
Median
0.0
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
20%
4/20
2026
24%
13/54
Avg0.35
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .232 | .337 | 19.0% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .204 | .327 | 32.7% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .423 | .923 | 26.8% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .282 | .437 | 8.2% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .395 | .789 | 20.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Casey Schmitt clears 0.5 Runs Scored, these hit too
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 84% · base 66% · n=51 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 84% · base 66% · n=51
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 76% · base 73% · n=50 · -167 dabble_us_dfs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 61% · n=19 · -102 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Runs Scored — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Runs Scored
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +190 | -189 |
Line movement — Runs Scored
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TOR — Runs Scored, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 8/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS