Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Casey Schmitt

San Francisco Giants · SS · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.95
Edge
+1.4%
Last 20
0%0/19 over 3 · 1 push
Window avg
1.15
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
0%
0/19
2026
3%
2/78
Avg0.90
StreakL15

Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)

Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
36.1%
97.7.232.33719.0%
Slider
29.1%
89.3.204.32732.7%
Changeup
11.3%
83.6.423.92326.8%
Sinker
9.8%
96.3.282.4378.2%
Knuckle Curve
9.3%
82.7
Sweeper
4.4%
84.2.395.78920.0%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Casey Schmitt clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=95 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=95
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 60% · n=32 · -102 dabble_us_dfs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 72% · base 60% · n=32 · -102 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 3

official box scores
2vs CHC06/142@ ATL06/162@ ATL06/172@ MIA06/193@ MIA06/202@ MIA06/212vs OAK06/230vs OAK06/241vs OAK06/250vs ATL06/261vs ATL06/270@ AZ06/290@ AZ06/300@ AZ07/012@ COL07/032@ COL07/041@ COL07/050vs TOR07/061vs TOR07/070vs TOR07/083

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-178+134
dabble_us_dfs0.5-159+160

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

0.512:10 AM ET11:15 AM ET
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs

League vs TOR Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 6/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Rafael Devers SF07/080
Jung Hoo Lee SF07/080
Heliot Ramos SF07/080
Willy Adames SF07/080
Luis Arraez SF07/080
Bryce Eldridge SF07/080
Eric Haase SF07/080
Drew Gilbert SF07/080
Luis Arraez SF07/072
Heliot Ramos SF07/072
Willy Adames SF07/071
Rafael Devers SF07/071
Victor Bericoto SF07/071
Bryce Eldridge SF07/071

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.333.409.316.409.239.379.583.323.206
Exit Velo
84.0895.9497.1188.0893.9795.6086.4694.3890.53
AVG
.333.409.333.409.244.379.583.323.212
sluggingPercentage
.500.727.500.773.733.483.917.516.394
OPS
.8331.136.7891.182.957.8621.500.839.588