Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.96
Edge
+1.7%All 215 games
5%11/215 over 2.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
8%
7/83
Avg0.90
StreakL15
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .232 | .337 | 19.0% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .204 | .327 | 32.7% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .423 | .923 | 26.8% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .282 | .437 | 8.2% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .395 | .789 | 20.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Casey Schmitt clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=95 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 78% · base 66% · n=95
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 61% · n=32 · -102 dabble_us_dfs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 72% · base 61% · n=32 · -102 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 215 games vs 2.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs TOR — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/08 | 0 | ✗ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Heliot Ramos SF | 07/06 | 3 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS