Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.14
Edge
+7.7%Last 20
75%15/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.20
Median
1.0
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
75%
15/20
2026
79%
19/24
Avg1.04
StreakW6
Tonight's matchup: Dylan Cease (RHP)
Bats RightThrows RightSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 36.1% | 97.7 | .277 | .511 | 29.8% |
| Slider | 29.1% | 89.3 | .444 | .889 | 31.6% |
| Changeup | 11.3% | 83.6 | .238 | .333 | 27.3% |
| Sinker | 9.8% | 96.3 | .292 | .479 | 16.3% |
| Knuckle Curve | 9.3% | 82.7 | — | — | — |
| Sweeper | 4.4% | 84.2 | .167 | .292 | 27.7% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Heliot Ramos clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Luis Arraez o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 81% · base 75% · n=53 · -236 DraftKings
Rafael Devers o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=97 · -120 dabble_us_dfs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Bases
hits when he does 70% · base 66% · n=97
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — last 20 vs 0.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs TOR — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 10/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Willy Adames SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Rafael Devers SF | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Drew Cavanaugh SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Victor Bericoto SF | 07/06 | 2 | ✓ |
| Bryce Eldridge SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Luis Arraez SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jung Hoo Lee SF | 07/06 | 1 | ✓ |
| Casey Schmitt SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
| Eric Haase SF | 07/06 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
sluggingPercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
onBasePercentage
OPS