Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
1.28
Edge
+20.2%Last 20
40%8/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.75
Median
0.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
40%
8/20
2026
43%
6/14
Avg1.23
StreakW4
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .318 | .500 | 32.3% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .267 | .600 | 28.1% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .105 | .105 | 23.8% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .176 | .353 | 44.4% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .231 | .692 | 29.3% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .179 | .286 | 13.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Josh Lowe clears 0.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Zach Neto o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 68% · base 56% · n=28 · -169 dabble_us_dfs
Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 63% · base 59% · n=27 · -147 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 0.5
official box scoresTonight's odds — Total Bases
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| PrizePicks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| Betr Picks | 0.5 | -137 | -137 |
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +105 | -104 |
Line movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
PrizePicksBetr Picksdabble_us_dfs
League vs TEX — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 8 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Spencer Torkelson DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS