Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.15
Edge
+7.8%All 266 games
1%3/244 over 1 · 22 push
Window avg
0.11
Median
0.0
L5
0%
0/4
L10
0%
0/8
L20
0%
0/17
2026
0%
0/45
Avg0.11
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .318 | .500 | 32.3% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .267 | .600 | 28.1% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .105 | .105 | 23.8% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .176 | .353 | 44.4% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .231 | .692 | 29.3% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .179 | .286 | 13.0% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Home Runs — all 266 games vs 1
official box scoresTonight's odds — Home Runs
| Book | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| dabble_us_dfs | 0.5 | +1441 | -1429 |
Line movement — Home Runs
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TEX — Home Runs, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 1/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Zach McKinstry DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Colt Keith DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jake Rogers DET | 07/05 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS