Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.79
Edge
+4.5%
All 198 games
38%76/198 over 0.5
Window avg
0.45
Median
0.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
35%
7/20
2026
47%
22/47
Avg0.45
StreakW3

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.321.56023.0%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2.250.2500.0%
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.333.50917.6%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.262.37719.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Batter Strikeoutsall 198 games vs 0.5

home only · official box scores
0vs LAD05/033vs MIL05/041vs MIL05/062vs KC05/151vs KC05/160vs KC05/170vs PIT05/190vs PIT05/202vs PIT05/211vs CHC05/290vs CHC05/300vs CHC05/311vs TEX06/012vs TEX06/020vs TEX06/030vs CIN06/050vs CIN06/060vs CIN06/070vs SD06/150vs SD06/161vs SD06/170vs AZ06/220vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241vs MIA06/260vs MIA06/270vs MIA06/281vs MIL07/061vs MIL07/071vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Bryan Torres STL07/073
José Fermín STL07/072
Nathan Church STL07/072
Jimmy Crooks STL07/072
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Masyn Winn STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.200.226.211.314.265.278.280.297.273
Exit Velo
90.6296.7992.3793.4993.0793.1187.1695.2198.81
onBasePercentage
.190.226.211.333.265.278.269.297.333
sluggingPercentage
.200.516.211.571.735.722.320.351.636
OPS
.381.742.421.8891.0001.000.577.649.917