Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line

0.5

Model proj

0.10

Edge

-0.8%

Batter Strikeouts Earned Runs Hits Hits Allowed Hits + Runs + RBIs Home Runs Pitcher Outs Pitcher Strikeouts Pitcher Walks RBIs Runs Scored Stolen Bases Total Bases Walks

Last20

Trending splits

Last 20

5%1/20 over 0.5

Window avg

0.05

Median

0.0

0/5

L10

0/10

L20

1/20

2026

11%

5/47

Avg0.12

StreakL14

Home Runs — last 20 vs 0.5

home only · official box scores

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup

Pitch	He throws it	Velo	Batter BA vs	SLG vs	Whiff% vs
Four-seam FB	58.7%	95.0	.321	.560	23.0%
Slurve	30.4%	82.2	.250	.250	0.0%
Changeup	9.3%	86.3	.333	.509	17.6%

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Home Runs, these hit too

Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 77% · base 64% · n=22 · -200 dabble_us_dfs

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 77% · base 68% · n=30 · -189 dabble_us_dfs

Pedro Pagés o0.5 Hits

hits when he does 70% · base 57% · n=23 · +101 DraftKings

Pedro Pagés o0.5 Total Bases

hits when he does 70% · base 57% · n=23 · -137 PrizePicks

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Tonight's odds — Home Runs

Book	Line	Over	Under
dabble_us_dfs	0.5	+847	-833

Line movement — Home Runs

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL — Home Runs, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 3/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL	07/07	1	✓
Jordan Walker STL	07/07	1	✓
Nelson Velázquez STL	07/07	1	✓
José Fermín STL	07/07	0	✗