Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%
Trending splitsvs RHP 78%(40)
Last 30
70%21/30 over 0.5
Window avg
0.93
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
60%
12/20
2026
68%
39/57
Avg1.04
StreakL3

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs PIT05/202@ CIN05/231@ CIN05/231@ MIL05/260vs CHC05/292vs CHC05/301vs CHC05/311vs TEX06/012vs TEX06/022vs TEX06/032vs CIN06/052@ NYM06/091@ NYM06/101@ MIN06/121vs SD06/151vs SD06/160@ KC06/181@ KC06/191vs AZ06/221vs AZ06/231vs AZ06/240vs MIA06/260vs MIA06/270@ ATL06/300@ ATL07/011@ ATL07/022@ CHC07/040vs MIL07/060vs MIL07/070vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-231+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Iván Herrera STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070