Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.21
Edge
-2.0%
Last 20
15%3/20 over 2.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
0%
0/5
L10
0%
0/10
L20
15%
3/20
2026
21%
10/47
Avg1.56
StreakL14

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too

Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=106 · -198 DraftKings
Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 64% · n=84 · -222 DraftKings
Michael McGreevy o16.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=18 · -133 DraftKings
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=134 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Total Baseslast 20 vs 2.5

home only · official box scores
2vs CHC05/301vs CHC05/311vs TEX06/013vs TEX06/023vs TEX06/035vs CIN06/051vs CIN06/062vs CIN06/072vs SD06/151vs SD06/161vs SD06/171vs AZ06/222vs AZ06/231vs AZ06/240vs MIA06/260vs MIA06/270vs MIA06/280vs MIL07/060vs MIL07/070vs MIL07/072.5

Tonight's odds — Total Bases

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings1.5+135-180
Bovada1.5+135-180

Line movement — Total Bases

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

1.512:11 AM ET12:11 AM ET
DraftKingsBovada

League vs MIL Total Bases, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5

Iván Herrera STL07/075
Nelson Velázquez STL07/074
Jordan Walker STL07/074
Lars Nootbaar STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
José Fermín STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070