Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.79
Edge
+4.5%
Trending splitsvs LHP 4%(25)
Last 20
5%1/20 over 1.5
Window avg
0.55
Median
0.5
L5
20%
1/5
L10
10%
1/10
L20
5%
1/20
2026
13%
12/89
Avg0.56
StreakL4

Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)

Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
58.7%
95.0.321.56023.0%
Slurve
30.4%
82.2.250.2500.0%
Changeup
9.3%
86.3.333.50917.6%
Sinker
1.7%
94.8.262.37719.1%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Batter Strikeoutslast 20 vs 1.5

official box scores
0vs SD06/161vs SD06/171@ KC06/180@ KC06/190@ KC06/210vs AZ06/220vs AZ06/230vs AZ06/241vs MIA06/260vs MIA06/270vs MIA06/281@ ATL06/301@ ATL07/011@ ATL07/020@ CHC07/032@ CHC07/040@ CHC07/051vs MIL07/061vs MIL07/071vs MIL07/071.5

Tonight's odds — Batter Strikeouts

BookLineOverUnder
Betr Picks0.5-137-137

Line movement — Batter Strikeouts

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Batter Strikeouts, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 9/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Bryan Torres STL07/073
José Fermín STL07/072
Jimmy Crooks STL07/072
Nathan Church STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Masyn Winn STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Nelson Velázquez STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Jordan Walker STL07/070

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

AVG
.200.226.211.314.265.278.280.297.273
Exit Velo
90.6296.7992.3793.4993.0793.1187.1695.2198.81
onBasePercentage
.190.226.211.333.265.278.269.297.333
sluggingPercentage
.200.516.211.571.735.722.320.351.636
OPS
.381.742.421.8891.0001.000.577.649.917