Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%
Last 20
55%6/11 over 1 · 9 push
Window avg
1.10
Median
1.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
57%
4/7
L20
55%
6/11
2026
58%
15/26
Avg1.04
StreakW3

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

away only · official box scores
2@ CIN05/231@ CIN05/230@ MIL05/251@ MIL05/260@ MIL05/272@ NYM06/091@ NYM06/101@ NYM06/111@ MIN06/121@ MIN06/131@ MIN06/140@ KC06/181@ KC06/193@ KC06/210@ ATL06/300@ ATL07/011@ ATL07/022@ CHC07/032@ CHC07/042@ CHC07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-231+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070