Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 31%(13)
Last 20
56%5/9 over 1 · 11 push
Window avg
1.15
Median
1.0
L5
75%
3/4
L10
75%
3/4
L20
56%
5/9
2026
50%
9/18
Avg0.97
StreakW2

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 1

official box scores
3@ PIT04/301vs LAD05/031vs MIL05/061@ SD05/100@ OAK05/141vs KC05/161vs KC05/172vs PIT05/210@ MIL05/250@ MIL05/271vs CIN06/061vs CIN06/071@ NYM06/111@ MIN06/131@ MIN06/141vs SD06/173@ KC06/210vs MIA06/282@ CHC07/032@ CHC07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-231+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070