Tonight's line
1.5
Model proj
1.21
Edge
-2.0%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
Last 20
30%6/20 over 1.5
Window avg
1.30
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
30%
6/20
2026
20%
3/15
Avg1.00
StreakL3
Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 1.5 Total Bases, these hit too
Iván Herrera o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 75% · base 68% · n=106 · -198 DraftKings
Jordan Walker o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 64% · n=84 · -222 DraftKings
Michael McGreevy o16.5 Pitcher Outs
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=18 · -133 DraftKings
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 72% · base 67% · n=134 · -175 DraftKings
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Total Bases — last 20 vs 1.5
home only · official box scoresLine movement — Total Bases
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsBovada
League vs MIL — Total Bases, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 5/14 would clear tonight's 1.5
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 5 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 4 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Jimmy Crooks STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |