Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%Batter StrikeoutsEarned RunsHitsHits AllowedHits + Runs + RBIsHome RunsPitcher OutsPitcher StrikeoutsPitcher WalksRBIsRuns ScoredStolen BasesTotal BasesWalks
All 98 games
54%53/98 over 0.5
Window avg
0.78
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
64%
16/25
Avg0.78
StreakL2
Tonight's matchup: Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Bats LeftThrows LeftSame-side matchup
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 58.7% | 95.0 | .321 | .560 | 23.0% |
| Slurve | 30.4% | 82.2 | .250 | .250 | 0.0% |
| Changeup | 9.3% | 86.3 | .333 | .509 | 17.6% |
| Sinker | 1.7% | 94.8 | .262 | .377 | 19.1% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -156 dabble_us_dfs
Blaze Jordan o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 62% · base 45% · n=13 · -128 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 98 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
DraftKingsdabble_us_dfs
League vs MIL — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Lars Nootbaar STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nelson Velázquez STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jordan Walker STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Bryan Torres STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Masyn Winn STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| José Fermín STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Nathan Church STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Iván Herrera STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Blaze Jordan STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| JJ Wetherholt STL | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
AVG
Exit Velo
onBasePercentage
sluggingPercentage
OPS