Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%
Trending splitsvs LHP 64%(25)
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
1.05
Median
1.0
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
75%
6/8
Avg0.88
StreakW4

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
1vs KC06/052vs LAD06/080vs TOR06/112@ MIL06/142vs CIN06/210vs CIN06/221vs CHC06/263@ CHC07/050vs ATL07/122vs COL08/130@ MIL09/141vs MIL09/210vs TB03/291@ DET04/031vs LAD05/030@ OAK05/141vs KC05/161vs CIN06/061@ MIN06/132@ CHC07/030.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-231+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Iván Herrera STL07/072
Jordan Walker STL07/072
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Nathan Church STL07/070
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
Masyn Winn STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
José Fermín STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070