Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · DH · Bats L

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.77
Edge
-11.6%
Last 20
70%14/20 over 0.5
Window avg
0.90
Median
1.0
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
64%
16/25
Avg0.78
StreakL2

Parlay pairs — when Alec Burleson clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Masyn Winn o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 67% · n=218 · -175 DraftKings

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 20 vs 0.5

official box scores
2@ PIT04/271vs LAD05/031@ OAK05/120@ OAK05/141vs KC05/161@ MIL05/260vs CHC05/291vs CHC05/312vs TEX06/031vs CIN06/061@ MIN06/131vs SD06/150@ KC06/181vs AZ06/231vs AZ06/240@ ATL06/302@ CHC07/032@ CHC07/040vs MIL07/060vs MIL07/070.5

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-231+171

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs MIL Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 7/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jordan Walker STL07/072
Iván Herrera STL07/072
Lars Nootbaar STL07/071
José Fermín STL07/071
Nelson Velázquez STL07/071
JJ Wetherholt STL07/071
Jordan Walker STL07/071
Jimmy Crooks STL07/070
JJ Wetherholt STL07/070
Iván Herrera STL07/070
Blaze Jordan STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070
Bryan Torres STL07/070
Nathan Church STL07/070