Probetrics — Sports Analytics
MLB Prop Board

Vaughn Grissom

Los Angeles Angels · 2B · Bats R

Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-8.1%
Last 30
24%4/17 over 1 · 13 push
Window avg
0.73
Median
1.0
L5
25%
1/4
L10
17%
1/6
L20
36%
4/11
2026
28%
9/32
Avg0.72
StreakL1

Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
PitchHe throws itVeloBatter BA vsSLG vsWhiff% vs
Four-seam FB
45.0%
95.4.200.42521.6%
Curveball
21.3%
81.7.353.47122.6%
Changeup
10.2%
86.7.208.25015.0%
Slider
9.5%
85.8.320.44025.0%
Cutter
8.9%
89.9.182.18216.7%
Sinker
5.1%
95.2.161.16117.4%

Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.

Parlay pairs — when Vaughn Grissom clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too

Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 58% · n=27 · -147 DraftKings
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=26 · -122 dabble_us_dfs
Jorge Soler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=24 · -130 DraftKings
Jose Siri o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=15 · +117 dabble_us_dfs

Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.

Hitslast 30 vs 1

official box scores
1@ CLE05/111@ CLE05/120@ CLE05/130vs LAD05/151vs LAD05/161vs OAK05/190vs OAK05/200vs OAK05/210vs TEX05/230vs TEX05/243@ DET05/260@ DET05/271@ DET05/282@ TB05/291@ TB05/301@ TB05/311vs COL06/011vs COL06/022vs COL06/030@ AZ06/171@ OAK06/180@ OAK06/200@ OAK06/211vs BAL06/231vs BAL06/240vs OAK06/261vs OAK06/280@ SEA06/302vs BOS07/030vs BOS07/051

Tonight's odds — Hits

BookLineOverUnder
DraftKings0.5-178+134

Line movement — Hits

From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).

Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.

League vs TEX Hits, 2026

Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5

Jo Adell LAA07/072
Wade Meckler LAA07/071
Logan O'Hoppe LAA07/071
Oswald Peraza LAA07/071
Josh Lowe LAA07/071
Jorge Soler LAA07/071
Denzer Guzman LAA07/071
Nolan Schanuel LAA07/071
Zach Neto LAA07/070
Riley Greene DET07/053
Kevin McGonigle DET07/052
James Outman DET07/051
Dillon Dingler DET07/051
Spencer Torkelson DET07/051

Strike-zone performance

Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.

onBasePercentage
.222.316.300.182.087.263.286.381.133
Exit Velo
79.2495.8292.8082.3693.3189.8789.0693.9990.67
AVG
.222.294.300.100.087.278.286.381.133
sluggingPercentage
.222.706.800.100.087.389.429.524.200
OPS
.444.9471.100.273.174.632.714.905.333