Tonight's line
0.5
Model proj
0.73
Edge
-8.1%All 27 games
63%17/27 over 0.5
Window avg
0.85
Median
1.0
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
70%
14/20
2026
67%
14/21
Avg0.85
StreakL1
Tonight's matchup: MacKenzie Gore (LHP)
Bats RightThrows LeftPlatoon edge: batter
| Pitch | He throws it | Velo | Batter BA vs | SLG vs | Whiff% vs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam FB | 45.0% | 95.4 | .200 | .425 | 21.6% |
| Curveball | 21.3% | 81.7 | .353 | .471 | 22.6% |
| Changeup | 10.2% | 86.7 | .208 | .250 | 15.0% |
| Slider | 9.5% | 85.8 | .320 | .440 | 25.0% |
| Cutter | 8.9% | 89.9 | .182 | .182 | 16.7% |
| Sinker | 5.1% | 95.2 | .161 | .161 | 17.4% |
Batter vs-pitch numbers are full-season vs that pitch type league-wide (Statcast), not vs this pitcher alone. Green BA ≥ .280 · red ≤ .210; whiff green ≤ 20% · red ≥ 32%.
Parlay pairs — when Vaughn Grissom clears 0.5 Hits, these hit too
Jo Adell o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 74% · base 58% · n=27 · -147 DraftKings
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 73% · base 65% · n=26 · -122 dabble_us_dfs
Jorge Soler o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 71% · base 65% · n=24 · -130 DraftKings
Jose Siri o0.5 Hits
hits when he does 67% · base 48% · n=15 · +117 dabble_us_dfs
Correlation from shared games in our database — books price correlated same-game legs accordingly; treat combined odds as an estimate.
Hits — all 27 games vs 0.5
official box scoresLine movement — Hits
From our own market snapshots (every poll since lines opened).
Line history builds as we snapshot the market — check back closer to game time.
League vs TEX — Hits, 2026
Last 14 qualifying performances against them · 13/14 would clear tonight's 0.5
| Jo Adell LAA | 07/07 | 2 | ✓ |
| Logan O'Hoppe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Wade Meckler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Denzer Guzman LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Oswald Peraza LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Lowe LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Jorge Soler LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Nolan Schanuel LAA | 07/07 | 1 | ✓ |
| Zach Neto LAA | 07/07 | 0 | ✗ |
| Riley Greene DET | 07/05 | 3 | ✓ |
| Kevin McGonigle DET | 07/05 | 2 | ✓ |
| Dillon Dingler DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| James Outman DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
| Kerry Carpenter DET | 07/05 | 1 | ✓ |
Strike-zone performance
Official MLB hot/cold zones, catcher's view — red hot, blue cold. In-zone 3×3 plus chase corners.
onBasePercentage
Exit Velo
AVG
sluggingPercentage
OPS